September 2024 Analysis of National Survey of Jewish Voters

October 10, 2024

JEI New Analysis of National Survey of Jewish Voters

A new analysis from the non-partisan Jewish Electorate Institute (JEI) indicates that Jewish voters could play a decisive role in determining control of Congress and the White House in the 2024 elections. Conducted by Population Mapping Consulting and Research alongside the Jewish Demography Project at the University of Miami, the September 2024 analysis reviews available data to calculate the influence of Jewish voters across all 435 Congressional districts and key swing states.

Jewish voters, who now comprise over 5.5 million Americans, are expected to have an outsized impact in several tossup districts and battleground states. The total Jewish population has grown from about 6 million in 1970 to over 7.7 million in 2024. With Jewish adults of voting age representing approximately 77% of the total Jewish population – and also routinely turning out in disproportionate numbers – their influence is expected to be particularly strong in key Senate and Presidential races.

Key Findings:

  • High Voter Turnout : Jewish voters consistently turn out at some of the highest rates of any ethnic group, positioning them as pivotal in tight Senate, gubernatorial and House races with significant Jewish populations.
  • Swing Districts : Key battleground Congressional districts such as NY-17 and NY-4 , among the top ten target districts in the country, and with Jewish populations of 19% and 14.4% respectively, could be significantly impacted by Jewish voters in races with historically narrow margins. In 2020, these districts had only 332,000 and 360,000 total votes cast, respectively, for Congress.
  • On average, nearly all US Congressional districts each have approximately 760,000 total residents.
  • Impact on Swing States , where Jewish population is a notable percentage of overall population, the Jewish vote may also have substantial impact on key Senate and other statewide races:
    • Pennsylvania : Nearly 350,000 Jews (in the state with the seventh-most Jewish residents as a percentage of its overall population) could influence this critical state’s 19 electoral votes and tight Senate race. In 2020, President Biden won the state by a margin of just 80,000 votes out of seven million cast.
    • Arizona : With 130,000 Jewish voters (14th-most as a percentage of its overall vote), this group could be critical in the state’s Senate race and its 11 presidential electoral votes .
    • Michigan : A state with 130,000 Jewish voters and 16 electoral votes may also see the Jewish electorate determine the outcome of its Senate race. Biden won Michigan by a slim margin of 10,000 votes in 2020.
  • Other Key States :
    • Maryland : With a quarter-of-a million Jews (4th largest percentage), Maryland’s Jewish voters could play a significant role in the state’s open Senate seat contest.
    • Georgia : While the Jewish population in Georgia is only 1.3% , it still hosts 150,000 Jews , which could make the difference in tight Senate and Presidential races. Biden won the 2020 presidential by fewer than 12,000 votes.
    • Ohio : With 177,000 Jews (18th largest percentage), Ohio’s Jewish electorate easily could have an impact in the state’s close Senate race.
    • North Carolina : Although North Carolina has a smaller Jewish population of only 100,000 , they could still help decide a contentious gubernatorial campaign.

Estimated Jewish Population by County, 2024 :
This map shows the distribution of Jewish populations across U.S. counties, highlighting regions with the highest concentrations, particularly in urban areas like New York, Los Angeles, and Miami.

Jewish Population by State, 2024 :
This table provides detailed data on the number of Jewish residents in each U.S. state, along with their percentage of the state’s total population and the overall U.S. Jewish population.

Jewish voters are not only concentrated in high-profile states but also in other key, swing Congressional districts. For example:

  • NV-3 : This district has 41,500 Jews , who may have a significant role in deciding the outcome.
  • CA-27 : With 30,000 Jewish adults , this district is another critical battleground.
  • NJ-7 : Home to more than 30,000 Jews , this district could also see a major influence from the Jewish electorate.
  • NY-19 : Hosting over 28,000 Jews , this district is another target in the upcoming elections.

Estimated Percent Jewish Population for Districts of the 119th U.S. Congress :

This map illustrates the percentage of Jewish residents in each Congressional district, with key states such as New York, New Jersey, and California standing out as having districts with significant Jewish populations.

“Jews turn out and vote in just about the highest percentages of any ethnic American bloc,” says JEI board chair Hope Eastman. “Combined with this year’s election map and its key races, Jews are positioned to play an even more disproportionate role than usual.”


Methodology:

This national survey was conducted by Population Mapping Consulting and Research and the Jewish Demography Project at the University of Miami in September, 2024 for the Jewish Electoral Institute. The survey identified Jewish populations across all 435 Congressional districts and Washington, DC, using innovative methodologies to account for previously undercounted Jewish populations in rural and suburban areas. The top target races were determined by the Cook Political Report and analysis from the New York Times.

By Eileen Filler-Corn July 3, 2025
In the nearly two years since Hamas’s brutal Oct. 7 attack on Israel, American Jews have watched a disturbing rise in antisemitism take place across America — and crucially, among some of our longtime allies. For decades, Jewish Americans stood at the forefront of progressive causes, marching for civil rights, fighting for reproductive freedom and advocating for immigrants and the marginalized. My Jewish faith is what first drove me to public service. The Jewish concept of tikkun olam — our responsibility to repair the world — is not just a religious tenet but a moral call to action. It’s why we’ve always shown up to defend others. Yet now, as antisemitism surges to record levels, many progressive organizations and leaders who once stood with us have gone quiet; or worse, turned their backs entirely. It’s no longer just about Israeli policy. The line between anti-Zionism and antisemitism has been crossed so many times it’s barely a line at all. “Zionist” has become a stand-in for “Jew,” and the message is clear: Unless you disavow the world’s only Jewish state, your place in many progressive spaces is no longer welcome. The picture is sobering. There have been calls to ban “Zionists” from Pride events. Many women’s groups have shrugged at Hamas’ rape of Israeli women. And the Democratic nominee for mayor of America’s most populous city has a pattern of antisemitic rhetoric and has refused to condemn the hurtful call to “globalize the intifada,” a rallying cry that has been used to incite violence against Jews. This didn’t happen overnight, but the silence from many who claim to fight for justice has been deafening and deeply painful. I know what it feels like to be targeted for who you are. In January 2020, shortly after I became the first woman and the first Jewish Speaker of the Virginia House of Delegates, the FBI uncovered a plot to assassinate me. Two members of a neo-Nazi domestic terrorist group had targeted me. It was the most serious of many threats I received during my time as Speaker. Thankfully, law enforcement intervened in time. But the threat was real, and it reminded me that hatred knows no single party or ideology. We’ve long seen this kind of extremist hate on the right, but today that same danger is rising on both extremes of the ideological spectrum. Antisemitism spreads under different names but with the same devastating consequences. Now, with the recent war between Israel and Iran, we’re likely to see a fresh wave of anti-Zionism and antisemitism. It is already giving rise to a new round of dangerous conspiracy theories laced with antisemitic tropes: accusing American Jews of dual loyalty; suggesting we control foreign policy; and portraying Jewish political engagement as part of a shadowy cabal influencing Washington. This is a moment of moral testing. Will our leaders speak clearly and forcefully against antisemitism, even when it’s politically inconvenient? Will those who champion diversity and inclusion apply those values to Jews as well? And will we be honest about how bad actors have exploited division, stoked extremism and enabled those who traffic in hate? Just as many Americans oppose President Donald Trump’s leadership while still loving this country and believing in its promise, the same is true for Israel. You can criticize or reject Prime Minister Netanyahu’s government and still support Israel’s right to exist, to defend itself and to thrive as a Jewish and democratic state. That distinction matters. Criticizing a government is not the same as condemning a people; but when it comes to Israel, that line is too often deliberately blurred. We must be able to hold leaders accountable without fueling hatred or questioning a nation’s fundamental legitimacy. Antisemitism is not merely a problem faced by Jews — it is a bellwether for the health of our democracy. When a society tolerates hatred against one group, it gives license to hate others. When threats against public servants go unchallenged, violence becomes normalized. I was reminded of that tragic reality when my friend and former counterpart, former Minnesota House Speaker Melissa Hortman, was executed in her home along with her husband, Mark. Authorities say her killer was a politically motivated extremist who had compiled a list of Democratic lawmakers. Melissa was a principled leader and a friend. Her death was a heartbreaking loss and a flashing red warning sign for the tolerance of hate in our democracy. We cannot afford to treat this moment as normal. It is time for our allies to rejoin us. To speak up when we are threatened. To see antisemitism for what it is: a growing, dangerous force that must be confronted head-on. Because if we wait until it affects everyone, it will already be too late. Eileen Filler Corn is a JEI Board Member and Former Speaker of the Virginia House of Delegates, and the only ever Jewish speaker in VA
JEI logo - blue and red star
July 1, 2025
July 1, 2025 U.S. House Committee On The Judiciary 2142 Rayburn House Office Building Washington, DC 20515 Now in our ninth year, the nationally and internationally recognized Jewish Electorate Institute (JEI), an independent, non-partisan, non-profit organization, continues to serve as the barometer for the Jewish electorate. We are therefore honored to submit the following Comments for the Record to the U.S. House of Representatives’ Judiciary Committee in support of its June 24, 2025, hearing on antisemitism - Rising Threat: America’s Battle Against Antisemitic Terror. This hearing, punctuated by the moving testimony of Matt Nosanchuk, reminded us that Jewish safety in America is not a political football - it is a national imperative. Nosanchuk, a former senior official in both the Obama and Biden Administrations and a lifelong advocate against antisemitism, laid bare the stark realities we face. The murder of Sarah Milgrim and Yaron Lischinsky, who were attending a Jewish community event just blocks from his home, brought the crisis home - literally and painfully. It also underscored a chilling truth: this could have been any one of us. Antisemitism today does not discriminate based on geography, profession, or even political identity. Nosanchuk rightly challenged both ends of the political spectrum. From the right, we've seen rising indulgence of white nationalist rhetoric, normalization of Nazi imagery, and an embrace of conspiracy theorists. When antisemitism is tolerated—or worse, weaponized—by public officials and influential institutions, it emboldens violence and undermines the rule of law. The example of the pardoning of the person wearing a “Camp Auschwitz” shirt at the riot on the Capitol on January 6, 2021, was not just shocking to the Jewish community – it was symptomatic of a deeper, corrosive tolerance for hate. From the left, antisemitism also too often masquerades as political critique. When Jews are asked to renounce their ties to Israel to participate in coalitions, or when pro-Palestinian activism turns violent against Jews, with intimidating targeted rhetoric and violence, that’s not solidarity – it’s exclusion and scapegoating. Our Jewish identity should never be a precondition for political participation. What we need is not partisan grandstanding, but comprehensive action. That includes implementing the Biden Administration’s well-thought-out National Strategy to Counter Antisemitism, restoring funding for civil rights enforcement at the Justice Department, and condemning hate, regardless of its ideological source. Nosanchuk’s call for education, prevention, and cross-community solidarity is exactly right. In closing, it’s our view at JEI that using antisemitism as cover for draconian immigration or university policies erodes the democratic institutions that have allowed Jewish life to flourish. Fighting hate must not become an excuse to violate civil liberties - ours or anyone else’s. Our safety as Jews has always been linked to the safety of others. In this perilous moment, we must demand more than soundbites. We must demand seriousness, solidarity, and above all, solutions. We are grateful to the Committee for having held this vital hearing at a perilous moment for American Jews. Sincerely, Barbara Goldberg Goldman Chairperson The Jewish Electorate Institute
June 18, 2025
Washington, DC — As hostilities between Israel and Iran intensify, the Jewish Electorate Institute (JEI), a nonpartisan political nonprofit, is calling on Congress to take all necessary measures to support Israel’s security, halt Iran’s nuclear ambitions, and help bring the hostages home.