Sun Sentinel: Poll Finds Jewish Voters Dislike Trump, Like Obama and Plan to Vote Democratic in Midterms

October 18, 2018

By Anthony Man

Jewish voters overwhelmingly disapprove of President Donald Trump, approve of former President Barack Obama and plan to vote Democratic in the 2018 midterm elections.

The findings come from a nationwide poll of Jewish voters released Wednesday.

More than three-quarters hold an unfavorable view of Trump — the mirror image of how American Jews view Obama, who is seen favorably by more than seven in 10 voters.

The poll of Jewish voters was conducted by a Democratic pollster for a new nonprofit organization focused on the Jewish electorate and turning out Jewish voters.

Midterms

The poll found Jewish voters overwhelmingly plan to vote for Democrats for Congress this year — 74 percent for a Democratic candidate and 26 percent for a Republican.

That is a net Democratic advantage of 48 percentage points for Democrats among Jewish voters and far more Democratic than the overall electorate.

The RealClearPolitics average of congressional ballot tests shows voters favoring the Democrats 48 percent to 41 percent, a net advantage of 7 points for the Democrats and philanthropists.

Trump

The Trump numbers among Jewish voters: 23 percent favorable; 76 percent unfavorable.

That’s a negative 53 points among Jewish voters — far more negative than the overall electorate.

The RealClearPolitics average of national polls shows 42 percent of voters have a favorable view of Trump and 54 percent have an unfavorable view. Among all voters, Trump is 12 points underwater.

By comparison, Obama was rated favorably by 72 percent and unfavorably by 28 percent of Jewish voters. There isn’t comparable national polling for the former president.

Trump is rated negatively on the way he’s handled many issues, including taxes, immigration, Supreme Court nominations, gun safety, the environment and health care.

The most positive issue area was his handling of U.S.-Israel relations, where 51 percent approved and 49 percent disapproved.

Jewish voters’ intentions in 2020 mirror their view of their president and their votes in 2016.

The poll found 74 percent said they would vote for a Democratic presidential candidate in 2020 and 26 percent would vote for Trump.

Exit polls  found that 71 percent of Jewish voters went for Democrat Hillary Clinton in 2016 and 23 percent voted for Trump. Another 6 percent cited someone else or didn’t answer.

Democratic voting bloc

Jewish voters  long have been an important and loyal voting bloc supporting Democratic candidates, and Wednesday’s survey indicates that isn’t changing in 2016.

During presidential elections, there’s always an intense campaign to sway Jewish voters, with Republicans asserting they’re about to make major inroads. But that hasn’t happened.

Ira Sheskin, professor of geography at the University of Miami and director of the Jewish Demography Project, said in a recent interview that Jewish voters strongly identify with one party. “They vote Democratic,” he said.

The poll found 68 percent of Jewish voters identified as Democrats and 25 percent as Republicans. Also, 64 percent described themselves as liberal and 29 percent as conservative.

This year,  Jewish voters are being heavily courted  by Florida’s candidates for governor.

Republican Ron DeSantis  and  Democrat Andrew Gillum  have appeared at synagogues and met with Jewish voters to emphasize their support for the Jewish community and for Israel. DeSantis has aggressively tried to undermine Gillum with Jewish voters, and the Democrat’s camp has pushed back hard against those attempts.

Fine print

The poll of  800 Jewish voters  was conducted online through a randomly selected panel from Oct. 2 to 11. Telephone polling is considered the gold standard, but as it’s become more expensive many pollsters are moving to online models.

The pollster said the survey had a margin of error of plus or minus 4 percentage points.

The survey was conducted by the Mellman Group. It’s a Democratic polling outfit, but has a high rating — a “B” grade — from the independent political data organization FiveThirtyEight.

The poll was sponsored by the Jewish Electorate Institute, which describes itself as a nonprofit organization founded in August to “deepen the public’s understanding of the Jewish electorate and mobilize the Jewish vote in the 2018 midterm and future elections. The primary focus is to lead non-partisan Get Out the Jewish Vote efforts and encourage civic engagement in the Jewish community.”

It was founded by prominent Jewish Democrats.

By Eileen Filler-Corn July 3, 2025
In the nearly two years since Hamas’s brutal Oct. 7 attack on Israel, American Jews have watched a disturbing rise in antisemitism take place across America — and crucially, among some of our longtime allies. For decades, Jewish Americans stood at the forefront of progressive causes, marching for civil rights, fighting for reproductive freedom and advocating for immigrants and the marginalized. My Jewish faith is what first drove me to public service. The Jewish concept of tikkun olam — our responsibility to repair the world — is not just a religious tenet but a moral call to action. It’s why we’ve always shown up to defend others. Yet now, as antisemitism surges to record levels, many progressive organizations and leaders who once stood with us have gone quiet; or worse, turned their backs entirely. It’s no longer just about Israeli policy. The line between anti-Zionism and antisemitism has been crossed so many times it’s barely a line at all. “Zionist” has become a stand-in for “Jew,” and the message is clear: Unless you disavow the world’s only Jewish state, your place in many progressive spaces is no longer welcome. The picture is sobering. There have been calls to ban “Zionists” from Pride events. Many women’s groups have shrugged at Hamas’ rape of Israeli women. And the Democratic nominee for mayor of America’s most populous city has a pattern of antisemitic rhetoric and has refused to condemn the hurtful call to “globalize the intifada,” a rallying cry that has been used to incite violence against Jews. This didn’t happen overnight, but the silence from many who claim to fight for justice has been deafening and deeply painful. I know what it feels like to be targeted for who you are. In January 2020, shortly after I became the first woman and the first Jewish Speaker of the Virginia House of Delegates, the FBI uncovered a plot to assassinate me. Two members of a neo-Nazi domestic terrorist group had targeted me. It was the most serious of many threats I received during my time as Speaker. Thankfully, law enforcement intervened in time. But the threat was real, and it reminded me that hatred knows no single party or ideology. We’ve long seen this kind of extremist hate on the right, but today that same danger is rising on both extremes of the ideological spectrum. Antisemitism spreads under different names but with the same devastating consequences. Now, with the recent war between Israel and Iran, we’re likely to see a fresh wave of anti-Zionism and antisemitism. It is already giving rise to a new round of dangerous conspiracy theories laced with antisemitic tropes: accusing American Jews of dual loyalty; suggesting we control foreign policy; and portraying Jewish political engagement as part of a shadowy cabal influencing Washington. This is a moment of moral testing. Will our leaders speak clearly and forcefully against antisemitism, even when it’s politically inconvenient? Will those who champion diversity and inclusion apply those values to Jews as well? And will we be honest about how bad actors have exploited division, stoked extremism and enabled those who traffic in hate? Just as many Americans oppose President Donald Trump’s leadership while still loving this country and believing in its promise, the same is true for Israel. You can criticize or reject Prime Minister Netanyahu’s government and still support Israel’s right to exist, to defend itself and to thrive as a Jewish and democratic state. That distinction matters. Criticizing a government is not the same as condemning a people; but when it comes to Israel, that line is too often deliberately blurred. We must be able to hold leaders accountable without fueling hatred or questioning a nation’s fundamental legitimacy. Antisemitism is not merely a problem faced by Jews — it is a bellwether for the health of our democracy. When a society tolerates hatred against one group, it gives license to hate others. When threats against public servants go unchallenged, violence becomes normalized. I was reminded of that tragic reality when my friend and former counterpart, former Minnesota House Speaker Melissa Hortman, was executed in her home along with her husband, Mark. Authorities say her killer was a politically motivated extremist who had compiled a list of Democratic lawmakers. Melissa was a principled leader and a friend. Her death was a heartbreaking loss and a flashing red warning sign for the tolerance of hate in our democracy. We cannot afford to treat this moment as normal. It is time for our allies to rejoin us. To speak up when we are threatened. To see antisemitism for what it is: a growing, dangerous force that must be confronted head-on. Because if we wait until it affects everyone, it will already be too late. Eileen Filler Corn is a JEI Board Member and Former Speaker of the Virginia House of Delegates, and the only ever Jewish speaker in VA
JEI logo - blue and red star
July 1, 2025
July 1, 2025 U.S. House Committee On The Judiciary 2142 Rayburn House Office Building Washington, DC 20515 Now in our ninth year, the nationally and internationally recognized Jewish Electorate Institute (JEI), an independent, non-partisan, non-profit organization, continues to serve as the barometer for the Jewish electorate. We are therefore honored to submit the following Comments for the Record to the U.S. House of Representatives’ Judiciary Committee in support of its June 24, 2025, hearing on antisemitism - Rising Threat: America’s Battle Against Antisemitic Terror. This hearing, punctuated by the moving testimony of Matt Nosanchuk, reminded us that Jewish safety in America is not a political football - it is a national imperative. Nosanchuk, a former senior official in both the Obama and Biden Administrations and a lifelong advocate against antisemitism, laid bare the stark realities we face. The murder of Sarah Milgrim and Yaron Lischinsky, who were attending a Jewish community event just blocks from his home, brought the crisis home - literally and painfully. It also underscored a chilling truth: this could have been any one of us. Antisemitism today does not discriminate based on geography, profession, or even political identity. Nosanchuk rightly challenged both ends of the political spectrum. From the right, we've seen rising indulgence of white nationalist rhetoric, normalization of Nazi imagery, and an embrace of conspiracy theorists. When antisemitism is tolerated—or worse, weaponized—by public officials and influential institutions, it emboldens violence and undermines the rule of law. The example of the pardoning of the person wearing a “Camp Auschwitz” shirt at the riot on the Capitol on January 6, 2021, was not just shocking to the Jewish community – it was symptomatic of a deeper, corrosive tolerance for hate. From the left, antisemitism also too often masquerades as political critique. When Jews are asked to renounce their ties to Israel to participate in coalitions, or when pro-Palestinian activism turns violent against Jews, with intimidating targeted rhetoric and violence, that’s not solidarity – it’s exclusion and scapegoating. Our Jewish identity should never be a precondition for political participation. What we need is not partisan grandstanding, but comprehensive action. That includes implementing the Biden Administration’s well-thought-out National Strategy to Counter Antisemitism, restoring funding for civil rights enforcement at the Justice Department, and condemning hate, regardless of its ideological source. Nosanchuk’s call for education, prevention, and cross-community solidarity is exactly right. In closing, it’s our view at JEI that using antisemitism as cover for draconian immigration or university policies erodes the democratic institutions that have allowed Jewish life to flourish. Fighting hate must not become an excuse to violate civil liberties - ours or anyone else’s. Our safety as Jews has always been linked to the safety of others. In this perilous moment, we must demand more than soundbites. We must demand seriousness, solidarity, and above all, solutions. We are grateful to the Committee for having held this vital hearing at a perilous moment for American Jews. Sincerely, Barbara Goldberg Goldman Chairperson The Jewish Electorate Institute
June 18, 2025
Washington, DC — As hostilities between Israel and Iran intensify, the Jewish Electorate Institute (JEI), a nonpartisan political nonprofit, is calling on Congress to take all necessary measures to support Israel’s security, halt Iran’s nuclear ambitions, and help bring the hostages home.